This expanded view of Cycles in the economy is a spinoff from
economic analysis found the Time Matrixes
under 2. Business & Economy
back through the ages Prehistoric
Cycle Composite graphs of Megarhythms are made by merging the Physical Cycle, Emotional Cycle and Intellectual Cycle into a single Composite Line. This yields a year by year average of the overall energy level of the three Cycles. The Cycle Composite forms a wavelike pattern with about 600 to 700 year spans between Peaks and between Troughs that coincide with the rises and falls of the US economy. First is a look at the Composite of the Cycles by themselves.
Figure #mma-01 shows the Cycle Composite for the Megarhythms:
Business as a Microcosm takes form when a company or any organization comes into being as a system. As a system, a business will assume a body, a heart, and a mind of its own. It manifests a fractal lens for energy. The Physical, Emotional and Intellectual energies of the Triad then flow through it. The business then become a mirror in the reflective dimensions of size and time to all the systems around it, and within it. Kalarhythms of the nation pulse through the fractal lens of a business and influence its operations. A business will respond with its own internal resources. This is the kaleidescope of change.
A single leaf on a tree acts as a separate processor of photosynthesis, then contibutes to the tree on which in subsists in a symboitic system. Despite the singulaity of a leaf, all leaves sprout and fall at the same time of year. A single American business may function with its own processes and internal rhythms, but it too moves within a symbiotic system, the United States. Despite the singularity of a business that has a life of its own, businesses of a like nature rise and fall with the seasons of change in America.
For example, the American Football League (AFL) was founded in 1959. This was to have a life of its own with a new fractal lens as a microcosm within the Physical, Emotional and Intellectual energies of the nation. Being a Physically-based organization linked to sports, it drew most of its energy from the Physical state of the nation. The Physical Cycle in the US, however, was Low and declining at the time. The AFL began playing in 1963, one year before a Physical Trough. This was an untimely confict. While the AFL was rising with its own phylogenic development to stretch its wings, the Physical Cycle of the nation was declining. Later in that Physical Low, in 1966, Football Commissioner Pete Rozelle would announce that the AFL would be absorbed by the National Football League (NFL) in a 1970 merger. The NFL itself was founded in 1920. It too began with a life of its own with a new fractal lens as a microcosm in the nation, with one big difference. The NFL sprouted as a new Physically-based organization when the Physical Cycle of the nation was High in the 1st Quarter of Precedents and Foundation. This was conducive to supplying the life sustaining energy that flowed through the fractal lens of this new entity. It survived and prospered. While a separate entity has its own internal structure, timing, fiscal years, and objectives, it works in context with the whole.
Cycle Basing in the Market is the influence of one Cycle or another in different aspects of the economy. The United States has a strong industrial base, which is Physical. While we also have strong Emotional and Intellectual bases, we often apply these energies toward Physical endeavors like production, commerce and physical sciences. Our Physical Cycle, therefore, can affect the economy more than the other two Cycles. Prosperity may be prevalent during a Physical High, if, for instance, the Emotional Cycle is Low. When only the Physical Cycle was High in 1950 and again in 1980, some business fared well and inner city construction boomed. When only the Emotional Cycle was High In 1932 and and again in 1992, we experienced a depression and a recession, respectively. The Physical Cycle is still not the only driving force in the economy. Far from it. Both the Emotional and the Intellectual Cycle play important roles. A combination of the three is the decisive force. In 1964, both the Emotional and Intellectual Cycles Peaked, while the Physical Cycle troughed. The economy boomed. In 1982 - 84, the Emotional and Intellectual Cycles troughed, respectively, and the Physical Cycle was High. The economy went into recessions. The subtlety is in understanding the balance and the confluence.
We have Physically-based, Emotionally-based, and Intellectually-based businesses that take turns leading the economy as Cycles change. Some stocks, certain industries, and segments of the economy may rise and fall on separate tides. The film industry, for instance, was about the only segment of the southern California economy that was not in recession in 1992. The Emotional Cycle was a driving force in entertainment and the only on High at the time. Film making became a steady source for jobs while the silicon valley and the general economy were hard hit. A historic case in point, the first telephone exchange began in 1878, and and Edison began his Electric Light Industry that same year. These were Intellectually-based industries that emerged in the 1870s, when only the Intellectual Cycle was High. Other parts of the economy were in a depression at that time, and the we had major railroad strikes as the Physical and Emotional Cycles were Low. That did not stop the progress in other areas and these two businesses that were soon to become world giants. This is the play of Cycles.
Our Three Cycles
move in different frequencies, each follows a pattern of Quarters
, occasionally hitting Crossovers
and we have a confluence developments that progress as Polyrhythms
. Then, when you identify a business as being based in one of the Cycles, and can give greater gravity to that Cycle while seeing it in a confluence of energies, then you can properly place that business in the Rhythms. This allows for more reliable forecasting than often results from trying to attribute change on trends that may be specifically relevant to that business. Following one business is like following one musician in a large orchestra. Hear the music of the orchestra, then hear the music of the one musician, know if that musician is in the timpani, the strings, or the Woodwind section, then understand the musician themself, then look ahead. Undertanding how Cycles work together to influence a business is like having a sheet music to the future. But remember, we sometimes have Abberations
that cause anomalies, but historically they have been short lived and we go back to the ever flowing pulse of Rhythms.